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DARWIN

R1 2:19 PM R2 2:54 PM R3 3:30 PM R4 4:09 PM R5 4:46 PM R6 5:25 PM

Race 5

4:46 PM
1100m · 5 runners
🏁 Result
1st STRUCK GOLD (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd MIAMI VICE
3rd GALAXY GENERAL
4th CANTON KID 💡 Saver
✅ Best Bet won — STRUCK GOLD (NZ) finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
STRUCK GOLD (NZ) W $1.85
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
2
CANTON KID P $1.36
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
4
MIAMI VICE W $5.00
Form view · saver 12.4% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 37.5% (8 starts) · Recent form: 1x23
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. STRUCK GOLD (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.85 $1.24 $2.65
2. CANTON KID 4 $3.20 $1.36 $4.15
4. MIAMI VICE 5 $5.00 $1.95 $4.93
3. GALAXY GENERAL 3 $8.50 $2.80 $8.41
5. LITTLE DITTY 1 $26.00 $5.50 $16.63
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 65% 90% 20*
2.00–2.49 42% 85% 33*
2.50–3.49 38% 74% 34*
3.50–4.99 33% 57% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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