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DARWIN

R1 3:35 PM R2 4:06 PM R3 4:40 PM R4 5:10 PM

Race 2

4:06 PM

1300m · 5 runners

🏁 Result

1st BRUNO BRUNO 💡 Saver

2nd FLY ⭐ Best Bet

3rd VANGUARD LEGEND

4th PLEASING SMILE

〰️ Best Bet placed — FLY ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — BRUNO BRUNO finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

FLY W $1.90

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

BRUNO BRUNO P $1.45

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
3. FLY FAV TOP RATED	3	$1.90	$1.26	$2.73
2. BRUNO BRUNO	4	$3.60	$1.45	$4.32
1. VANGUARD LEGEND	1	$4.60	$1.85	$5.10
4. BOLLON (NZ)	5	$9.50	$3.10	$8.68
6. PLEASING SMILE	6	$14.00	$4.00	$11.05

Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	65%	90%	20*
2.00–2.49	42%	85%	33*
2.50–3.49	38%	74%	34*
3.50–4.99	33%	57%	21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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