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DARWIN

R1 3:07 PM R2 3:40 PM R3 4:20 PM R4 5:00 PM

Race 1

3:07 PM
1300m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st HOTIM ENGLISH
2nd I LOVERAIN 📍 Place Pick
3rd KESSLER
4th ITWASONLYAKISS (IRE)
✅ Place bet landed — I LOVERAIN ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
6
I LOVERAIN W $2.45·P $1.36
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. I LOVERAIN FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.45 $1.36 $3.72
3. HOTIM ENGLISH 3 $3.40 $1.70 $4.45
4. ITWASONLYAKISS (IRE) 7 $5.00 $2.25 $5.91
5. KESSLER 2 $9.50 $3.60 $8.45
1. PRINCE RUBAN 6 $11.00 $3.90 $10.26
2. GALAXY GENERAL 4 $12.00 $4.20 $10.91
7. HELL AND BACK 5 $61.00 $15.00 $33.86
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.45) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 65% 90% 20*
2.00–2.49 this race 45% 90% 31*
2.50–3.49 38% 74% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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