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DARWIN

R1 3:07 PM R2 3:40 PM R3 4:20 PM R4 5:00 PM

Race 2

3:40 PM
1200m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st TIGERS ROAR ⭐ Best Bet
2nd RISING WATER 💡 Saver
3rd CARAT TIME
4th ANECDOTAL
✅ Best Bet won — TIGERS ROAR finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — RISING WATER ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
TIGERS ROAR W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
12
RISING WATER P $2.30
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. TIGERS ROAR FAV TOP RATED 11 $1.90 $1.28 $3.07
12. RISING WATER 2 $5.50 $2.30 $5.75
5. STRAYA PRIDE 8 $7.50 $2.80 $7.57
3. ANECDOTAL 7 $9.50 $3.30 $8.77
6. CARAT TIME 1 $13.00 $4.00 $11.03
7. VIACONI 3 $12.00 $3.90 $11.64
2. JULY 9 $16.00 $4.60 $12.96
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 65% 90% 20*
2.00–2.49 45% 90% 31*
2.50–3.49 38% 74% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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