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DARWIN

R1 3:07 PM R2 3:40 PM R3 4:20 PM R4 5:00 PM

Race 3

4:20 PM
1100m · 5 runners
🏁 Result
1st SOUTHAMPTON FLARE
2nd GOOD ONYA DARL
3rd LADY FIREBALL 📍 Place Pick
4th GRAYSVILLE
✅ Place bet landed — LADY FIREBALL ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
5
LADY FIREBALL P $1.50
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
3
GOD'S EYE W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. LADY FIREBALL FAV TOP RATED 3 $3.20 $1.50 $3.35
2. SOUTHAMPTON FLARE 2 $3.20 $1.50 $3.78
3. GOD'S EYE 5 $5.50 $2.25 $5.76
4. GOOD ONYA DARL 4 $4.80 $2.10 $6.68
1. GRAYSVILLE 1 $7.50 $2.80 $8.79
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.20) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 65% 90% 20*
2.00–2.49 45% 90% 31*
2.50–3.49 this race 38% 74% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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