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GEELONG

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:00 PM R4 2:35 PM R5 3:10 PM R6 3:45 PM R7 4:25 PM R8 5:05 PM

Race 1

12:50 PM
1112m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st CABRIOLE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd FLYING CAPITAL 💡 Saver
3rd ONE BOUND
4th I WILL SHINE
✅ Best Bet won — CABRIOLE finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — FLYING CAPITAL ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
CABRIOLE W $1.45
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
1
FLYING CAPITAL P $1.60
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. CABRIOLE FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.45 $1.12 $2.07
1. FLYING CAPITAL 2 $4.60 $1.60 $5.35
7. MISS DECEIVER 5 $12.00 $3.40 $9.29
2. I WILL SHINE 6 $15.00 $3.90 $13.82
3. SILVER CAPITAL 3 $23.00 $5.00 $16.14
5. ONE BOUND 7 $23.00 $5.00 $21.59
6. KOBAN 4 $51.00 $7.00 $24.47
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 37% 74% 46*
3.50–4.99 23% 59% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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