‹ All races

GEELONG

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:00 PM R4 2:35 PM R5 3:10 PM R6 3:45 PM R7 4:25 PM R8 5:05 PM

Race 7

4:25 PM
1512m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st SHORT REPLY 📍 Place Pick
2nd LUCKY COMPASS
3rd YOU NEVER CAN TELL
4th IL CIELO
✅ Place bet — won outright — SHORT REPLY finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
10
SHORT REPLY P $1.75
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
6
REGAL ASCEND W $9.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. SHORT REPLY FAV TOP RATED 1 $4.20 $1.75 $6.23
1. IL CIELO 8 $6.00 $2.20 $7.52
2. SOMEBODY TOLD ME 5 $5.50 $2.10 $7.83
6. REGAL ASCEND 6 $9.50 $2.90 $10.11
4. THE SMASH FACTOR 2 $10.00 $3.00 $10.24
5. YOU NEVER CAN TELL 9 $8.50 $2.60 $11.61
9. HOTINHERRE 10 $9.50 $2.90 $12.58
11. LUCKY COMPASS 7 $13.00 $3.60 $13.04
7. SQUANDER 11 $17.00 $4.00 $15.35
8. TAKE ME TO CHURCH 4 $23.00 $4.80 $22.50
3. BLOW ON THE DICE 3 $41.00 $6.00 $32.95
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($4.20) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 37% 74% 46*
3.50–4.99 this race 23% 59% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.