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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:40 PM R2 1:15 PM R3 1:50 PM R4 2:25 PM R5 3:00 PM R6 3:40 PM R7 4:20 PM R8 4:55 PM

Race 5

3:00 PM
1500m ยท 8 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st BONDI BLOSSOM ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
2nd ROSE WATER
3rd CRATHIE KIRK
4th SHOWTIME SHADOW ๐Ÿ“ Place Pick
โŒ Unplaced โ€” SHOWTIME SHADOW didn't feature
โœ… Saver won โ€” BONDI BLOSSOM finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win โ€” place or pass.
1
SHOWTIME SHADOW P $1.20
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
4
BONDI BLOSSOM W $5.50
Saver ยท small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form โ€” a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. SHOWTIME SHADOW FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.50 $1.20 $3.57
7. CRATHIE KIRK 5 $2.60 $1.22 $3.59
4. BONDI BLOSSOM 8 $5.50 $1.40 $6.13
8. ROSE WATER 6 $15.00 $2.60 $13.21
3. THE IRON STAR 3 $23.00 $3.40 $17.16
2. MCADAM 4 $23.00 $3.40 $17.57
9. DAMASCUS CALLING 9 $31.00 $4.20 $22.05
5. DECOTA 2 $41.00 $4.60 $23.81
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50โ€“3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00โ€“2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50โ€“3.49 this race 39% 64% 44*
3.50โ€“4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.