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TOWNSVILLE

R1 12:56 PM R2 1:33 PM R3 2:12 PM R4 2:47 PM R5 3:27 PM R6 4:04 PM R7 4:42 PM R8 5:20 PM

Race 1

12:56 PM

1200m · 8 runners

🏁 Result

1st PRINCESS SHANGHAI

2nd OSCAR BOOIE 💡 Saver

3rd AMBER AFFAIR ⭐ Best Bet

4th FIGHTING EDGE

〰️ Best Bet placed — AMBER AFFAIR ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver placed — OSCAR BOOIE ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

AMBER AFFAIR W $1.80

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

OSCAR BOOIE P $1.40

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
3. AMBER AFFAIR FAV TOP RATED	2	$1.80	$1.12	$2.85
1. OSCAR BOOIE	8	$5.00	$1.40	$6.64
7. FIGHTING EDGE	6	$6.50	$1.75	$7.51
2. SHADYVALE AL	1	$7.00	$1.80	$7.53
5. HIGH SOBRIETY	3	$16.00	$3.00	$11.94
6. PRINCESS SHANGHAI	4	$14.00	$2.70	$12.17
8. FRENCH DRAGON	7	$41.00	$5.00	$24.03
4. JOT GIRL	5	$71.00	$5.75	$40.20

Favourite record at TOWNSVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	48%	84%	25*
2.00–2.49	52%	68%	25*
2.50–3.49	27%	65%	55*
3.50–4.99	22%	43%	23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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