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TOWNSVILLE

R1 12:56 PM R2 1:33 PM R3 2:12 PM R4 2:47 PM R5 3:27 PM R6 4:04 PM R7 4:42 PM R8 5:20 PM

Race 7

4:42 PM
1000m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st LOWLANDS ⭐ Best Bet
2nd KHUMBILA
3rd IRRESISTIBLE FORCE
4th NORTHERNONTAP
Best Bet won — LOWLANDS finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
LOWLANDS W $1.95
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
LA PETITE MAISON P $1.65
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
5
NORTHERNONTAP W $9.00
Form view · saver 10.1% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 50% (8 starts) · Recent form: 30x1
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. LOWLANDS FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.95 $1.22 $3.15
4. LA PETITE MAISON 1 $5.00 $1.65 $6.68
1. NOLAN 5 $8.50 $2.25 $9.36
5. NORTHERNONTAP 8 $9.00 $2.35 $9.46
2. TIME TO PROPHET 6 $12.00 $2.80 $12.36
9. MAXIMUM POWER 10 $15.00 $3.30 $14.90
7. KHUMBILA 7 $16.00 $3.40 $16.16
3. GOSSIP TORQUE 2 $26.00 $4.40 $19.80
6. IRRESISTIBLE FORCE 9 $41.00 $5.50 $27.29
10. MATTEI 3 $71.00 $7.00 $42.41
Favourite record at TOWNSVILLE

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 48% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 52% 68% 25*
2.50–3.49 27% 65% 55*
3.50–4.99 22% 43% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.