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WARWICK FARM

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:00 PM R4 2:35 PM R5 3:10 PM R6 3:45 PM R7 4:20 PM R8 4:55 PM

Race 4

2:35 PM
2400m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st AUTUMN WINTER (IRE)
2nd DE LOUVIERE (IRE) ⭐ Best Bet
3rd CASUAL CONNECTION (NZ)
4th STYLEBENDER (NZ) 💡 Saver
〰️ Best Bet placed — DE LOUVIERE (IRE) ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
DE LOUVIERE (IRE) W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
2
STYLEBENDER (NZ) P $2.00
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. DE LOUVIERE (IRE) FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.90 $1.26 $2.60
2. STYLEBENDER (NZ) 2 $5.00 $2.00 $5.27
1. CASUAL CONNECTION (NZ) 4 $5.50 $2.10 $6.63
4. MAJORIAN 5 $10.00 $3.20 $9.97
3. KNIGHTS ARMOUR 3 $12.00 $3.60 $10.28
5. AUTUMN WINTER (IRE) 6 $16.00 $4.20 $12.96
Favourite record at WARWICK FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 52% 76% 21*
2.50–3.49 32% 65% 31*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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