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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:10 PM R2 12:50 PM R3 1:25 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:35 PM R6 3:10 PM R7 3:45 PM R8 4:25 PM

Race 5

2:35 PM
1900m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st ROTHROCK
2nd SIX FOOT SONG
3rd WILD THOUGHTS
4th OWEN COUNTY
❌ Unplaced — IRON LEGEND didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
IRON LEGEND P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
1
JACK DUGGAN (USA) W $9.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. IRON LEGEND FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.90 $1.30 $4.62
3. WILD THOUGHTS 5 $4.20 $1.50 $5.78
2. MIDORI GIANT 6 $4.60 $1.60 $6.38
1. JACK DUGGAN (USA) 1 $9.50 $2.45 $10.05
10. OKAMI STAR 7 $11.00 $2.90 $10.22
5. SIX FOOT SONG 4 $15.00 $3.50 $12.70
6. OWEN COUNTY 8 $23.00 $4.60 $18.42
8. RITA'S PEARL 10 $31.00 $5.25 $20.62
9. ROTHROCK 9 $41.00 $6.00 $24.26
7. BRANNUM 3 $61.00 $7.50 $29.83
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 this race 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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