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Race 4

2:25 PM
1717m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Sale Racecourse ›
🏁 Result
1st BALLISTIC ROMEO (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd MOTHERDUCK
3rd ALWAYS SHINING (NZ)
4th DEMPSEY
✅ Best Bet won — BALLISTIC ROMEO (NZ) finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
BALLISTIC ROMEO (NZ) W $1.60
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
9
WHO'LLSTOPLORRAINE P $1.30
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. BALLISTIC ROMEO (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.60 $1.08 $2.60
9. WHO'LLSTOPLORRAINE 1 $4.60 $1.30 $5.33
1. ALWAYS SHINING (NZ) 9 $9.50 $2.00 $8.44
6. MOTHERDUCK 4 $18.00 $2.80 $12.33
8. THE NEW DEEL 5 $15.00 $2.45 $12.46
3. DEMPSEY 8 $17.00 $2.70 $15.38
5. IVY PRINCESS 2 $31.00 $3.80 $20.14
7. NOW PERFORM 6 $51.00 $4.80 $30.47
Favourite record at SALE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 57% 95% 21*
2.00–2.49 43% 81% 21*
2.50–3.49 43% 75% 28*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.