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IPSWICH

R1 12:00 PM R2 12:35 PM R3 1:10 PM R4 1:45 PM R5 2:25 PM R6 3:05 PM R7 3:40 PM R8 4:15 PM

Race 4

1:45 PM
1690m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st BON VADER ⭐ Best Bet
2nd UNDER ARREST (NZ)
3rd PARADISE AS USUAL 💡 Saver
4th DUST CLOUD
✅ Best Bet won — BON VADER finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — PARADISE AS USUAL ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
BON VADER W $1.65
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
16
PARADISE AS USUAL P $1.75
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. BON VADER FAV TOP RATED 7 $1.65 $1.12 $2.57
16. PARADISE AS USUAL 17 $6.50 $1.75 $7.51
9. UNDER ARREST (NZ) 13 $7.50 $1.95 $8.64
13. DUST CLOUD 14 $9.50 $2.20 $9.88
18. COCCINELLA 1 $18.00 $3.40 $13.18
5. HOPEFUL CAUSE 8 $14.00 $2.80 $14.20
11. FIVE OF US 9 $21.00 $3.50 $15.23
12. SHE CAN SOAR 4 $26.00 $3.90 $20.73
Favourite record at IPSWICH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 63% 93% 27*
2.00–2.49 38% 85% 34*
2.50–3.49 22% 62% 73
3.50–4.99 29% 53% 45*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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