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DARWIN

R1 2:31 PM R2 3:12 PM R3 3:52 PM R4 4:27 PM R5 4:59 PM

Race 5

4:59 PM
1600m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st BOLLON (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd BAROCCO BAR
3rd NO I'M NOT
4th JULY
✅ Best Bet won — BOLLON (NZ) finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
BOLLON (NZ) W $1.60
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
9
MAX ROCK P $1.75
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. BOLLON (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.60 $1.10 $2.65
9. MAX ROCK 7 $7.00 $1.75 $7.26
1. KIEFFER 3 $7.00 $1.70 $7.76
4. NO I'M NOT 5 $11.00 $2.25 $9.21
6. JULY 1 $11.00 $2.25 $11.20
5. BAROCCO BAR 9 $23.00 $3.50 $17.08
8. DANGER MAN 2 $31.00 $4.20 $20.04
3. HELL AND BACK 10 $81.00 $6.00 $40.52
10. ROC DE RUSSIAN (NZ) 6 $81.00 $6.50 $40.55
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 41% 90% 29*
2.50–3.49 40% 73% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.