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MACKAY

R1 12:34 PM R2 1:09 PM R3 1:44 PM R4 2:19 PM R5 2:54 PM R6 3:34 PM R7 4:14 PM R8 4:50 PM

Race 1

12:34 PM
1050m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st BOWDENE 💡 Saver
2nd ON THE CLOCK ⭐ Best Bet
3rd ALBERTA BOUND
4th I'LLTELLYOUANYTIME
〰️ Best Bet placed — ON THE CLOCK ran a place (win bet missed)
Saver won — BOWDENE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
ON THE CLOCK W $1.80
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
BOWDENE P $1.40
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. ON THE CLOCK FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.80 $1.22 $2.63
4. BOWDENE 6 $3.50 $1.40 $4.27
2. ALBERTA BOUND 1 $6.00 $2.15 $5.44
3. DUB STEPPING 2 $11.00 $3.30 $8.83
5. I'LLTELLYOUANYTIME 4 $17.00 $4.20 $12.81
7. UMPQUA 7 $126.00 $18.00 $92.56
Favourite record at MACKAY

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 36% 72% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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