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NEWCASTLE

R1 11:50 AM R2 12:30 PM R3 1:05 PM R4 1:40 PM R5 2:15 PM R6 2:50 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:10 PM

Race 1

11:50 AM
2200m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st SPACETIME LEGEND
2nd DANCE WITH DESTINY (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
3rd JADE SUNSET
4th SICCIUS
✅ Place bet landed — DANCE WITH DESTINY (NZ) ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
9
DANCE WITH DESTINY (NZ) P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
11
PHAROAH QUEEN W $8.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. DANCE WITH DESTINY (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.90 $1.30 $4.08
8. CANJUSTIFY 8 $5.00 $1.70 $6.46
10. JADE SUNSET 2 $5.00 $1.70 $6.61
11. PHAROAH QUEEN 9 $8.50 $2.30 $9.28
3. KNIGHT OF RHODES 1 $9.00 $2.35 $9.58
5. SOUTHERN SKY 5 $8.00 $2.25 $9.65
4. SICCIUS 11 $13.00 $3.10 $12.91
7. SPACETIME LEGEND 3 $23.00 $4.40 $17.86
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 this race 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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