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NEWCASTLE

R1 11:50 AM R2 12:30 PM R3 1:05 PM R4 1:40 PM R5 2:15 PM R6 2:50 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:10 PM

Race 5

2:15 PM
900m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st FIRST LANDING (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
2nd THIRD BASE
3rd THRILLING VENTURE
4th ABUSE OF POWER 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — FIRST LANDING (NZ) finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
1
FIRST LANDING (NZ) P $1.55
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
2
ABUSE OF POWER W $7.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. FIRST LANDING (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 5 $3.90 $1.55 $5.72
5. PRINCESS CRUIZER 10 $5.00 $1.85 $7.21
8. THRILLING VENTURE 4 $6.50 $2.25 $8.34
2. ABUSE OF POWER 6 $7.50 $2.35 $8.61
3. WELCOME GYPSY 2 $7.00 $2.30 $9.81
10. TOO DARN FINESSE 7 $11.00 $3.20 $11.54
9. THIRD BASE 12 $15.00 $3.80 $12.85
4. BOSS 9 $21.00 $4.60 $16.65
6. ZOOM OUTCOME 1 $31.00 $5.50 $22.87
7. WHIL TO WIN 11 $34.00 $5.50 $23.57
12. OCTAVIAN TREASURE 3 $41.00 $6.50 $26.42
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.90) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 this race 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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