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NEWCASTLE

R1 11:50 AM R2 12:30 PM R3 1:05 PM R4 1:40 PM R5 2:15 PM R6 2:50 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:10 PM

Race 7

3:30 PM
1250m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st OAKFIELD NEPTUNE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd BAKERLOO
3rd NAUGHTY NURSE
4th 8,16
✅ Best Bet won — OAKFIELD NEPTUNE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
10
OAKFIELD NEPTUNE W $1.75
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
PESCHIERA P $2.45
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. OAKFIELD NEPTUNE FAV TOP RATED 14 $1.75 $1.26 $2.61
6. PESCHIERA 11 $6.50 $2.45 $7.61
16. FORCEFILLY 6 $8.50 $3.10 $8.25
5. BAKERLOO 18 $8.00 $2.90 $10.04
3. LETHAL LOVE 2 $13.00 $3.90 $10.43
8. CHICA DEL MAR 1 $14.00 $4.20 $11.25
12. NAUGHTY NURSE 3 $14.00 $4.20 $12.40
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.