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BALLARAT

R1 12:25 PM R2 1:00 PM R3 1:35 PM R4 2:10 PM R5 2:45 PM R6 3:15 PM R7 3:50 PM R8 4:25 PM

Race 2

1:00 PM
1000m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st PICO BELLA
2nd HAVANA MOON 📍 Place Pick
3rd HEGELY
4th LIGHT FILLED 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet landed — HAVANA MOON ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
6
HAVANA MOON P $1.30
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
9
LIGHT FILLED W $6.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. HAVANA MOON FAV TOP RATED 7 $3.00 $1.30 $3.36
9. LIGHT FILLED 8 $6.00 $1.90 $5.32
7. HEGELY 2 $7.00 $2.10 $6.34
11. PICO BELLA 5 $9.00 $2.40 $7.60
8. IMMORTAL TRUTH 3 $13.00 $3.00 $11.58
3. RENEGE 4 $23.00 $4.20 $16.53
10. MATHLETES (NZ) 11 $31.00 $5.00 $20.05
2. LORD LONNY 10 $151.00 $13.00 $64.62
5. BUCHAN OUTKAST 9 $201.00 $17.00 $74.77
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.00) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 38% 63% 40*
3.50–4.99 30% 70% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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