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MORNINGTON

R1 1:30 PM R2 2:00 PM R3 2:30 PM R4 3:00 PM R5 3:30 PM R6 4:00 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 1

1:30 PM

1200m · 9 runners

📍 Our record & guide for Mornington Racecourse ›

🏁 Result

1st NITRO SONIC

2nd LOTTA CITY 💡 Saver

3rd CAN'T BE REEL ⭐ Best Bet

4th VELOCITE BELLE

〰️ Best Bet placed — CAN'T BE REEL ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver placed — LOTTA CITY ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

CAN'T BE REEL W $1.65

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

LOTTA CITY P $1.32

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
1. CAN'T BE REEL FAV TOP RATED	3	$1.65	$1.10	$2.56
8. LOTTA CITY	9	$4.40	$1.32	$5.49
12. VELOCITE BELLE	1	$8.00	$1.85	$8.03
11. NITRO SONIC	4	$9.50	$2.10	$9.19
10. GRANDPA NEIL	7	$16.00	$2.80	$14.13
2. COLD LOGIC	6	$34.00	$4.20	$23.34
13. VELVET CITY	10	$34.00	$4.20	$23.46
4. GEMOFSIXTEENCARATS	5	$71.00	$5.50	$40.38
15. LIGHTNING JOEY	8	$151.00	$9.00	$80.90

Favourite record at MORNINGTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
2.50–3.49	29%	83%	24*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.