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PAKENHAM

R1 4:45 PM R2 5:15 PM R3 5:45 PM R4 6:15 PM R5 6:45 PM R6 7:15 PM R7 7:45 PM R8 8:15 PM

Race 1

4:45 PM
1000m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st FEHMARN ⭐ Best Bet
2nd TICKETY BOO 💡 Saver
3rd INABLISS
4th PENINSULA ROSE
✅ Best Bet won — FEHMARN finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — TICKETY BOO ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
FEHMARN W $1.70
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
10
TICKETY BOO P $1.30
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. FEHMARN FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.70 $1.10 $2.46
10. TICKETY BOO 1 $3.90 $1.30 $4.84
3. BLITZ AIR 6 $7.00 $1.60 $6.75
8. PENINSULA ROSE 5 $16.00 $2.60 $13.29
4. I AM POPULAR 8 $26.00 $3.50 $22.31
7. LOVELY HEAD 7 $26.00 $3.50 $23.93
5. INABLISS 9 $26.00 $3.50 $25.16
9. THROME THE MONEY 4 $31.00 $4.00 $26.34
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 61% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 39% 77% 75
3.50–4.99 11% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.