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PAKENHAM

R1 4:45 PM R2 5:15 PM R3 5:45 PM R4 6:15 PM R5 6:45 PM R6 7:15 PM R7 7:45 PM R8 8:15 PM

Race 7

7:45 PM
1600m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st PROMISED LAND (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
2nd GARNACHO (NZ)
3rd STAY SILENT
4th HEY BELLA 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — PROMISED LAND (NZ) finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
4
PROMISED LAND (NZ) P $1.75
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
5
HEY BELLA W $6.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. PROMISED LAND (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 9 $3.20 $1.75 $4.79
6. RISING STAR (NZ) 1 $4.00 $2.00 $5.42
5. HEY BELLA 6 $6.00 $2.60 $6.42
2. STAY SILENT 8 $6.00 $2.60 $6.92
7. GARNACHO (NZ) 2 $7.50 $3.20 $7.26
1. MODOWN 5 $8.00 $3.30 $9.70
8. WINTER GRACE 7 $20.00 $5.50 $15.16
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.20) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 61% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 this race 39% 77% 75
3.50–4.99 11% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.