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ROSEHILL

R1 11:00 AM R2 11:35 AM R3 12:10 PM R4 12:45 PM R5 1:20 PM R6 1:55 PM R7 2:30 PM R8 3:05 PM R9 3:40 PM R10 4:20 PM

Race 7

2:30 PM
1100m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st COUPLES RETREAT (NZ) 💡 Saver
2nd CONFIDENTIALITY
3rd BENEVAC
4th SHROPSHIRE LAD
❌ Unplaced — BIG PAPA (NZ) didn't feature
✅ Saver won — COUPLES RETREAT (NZ) finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
12
BIG PAPA (NZ) P $1.34
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
7
COUPLES RETREAT (NZ) W $7.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
12. BIG PAPA (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 11 $2.65 $1.34 $4.13
7. COUPLES RETREAT (NZ) 2 $7.50 $2.35 $8.73
11. CONFIDENTIALITY 22 $7.00 $2.30 $8.80
13. AGATHA 20 $8.00 $2.50 $9.51
2. MADRINA 6 $9.00 $2.65 $10.37
3. SHROPSHIRE LAD 14 $11.00 $3.20 $11.47
15. RASKOL 4 $13.00 $3.70 $13.38
9. CASSEROUSSE 8 $20.00 $4.80 $17.34
8. BENEVAC 12 $26.00 $5.50 $26.25
16. SILVER SERENADE 1 $41.00 $7.00 $26.40
1. SHALL BE 7 $41.00 $6.50 $30.85
Favourite record at ROSEHILL ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.65) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 45% 95% 20*
2.50–3.49 this race 40% 71% 42*
3.50–4.99 5% 48% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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