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GATTON

R1 12:15 PM R2 12:54 PM R3 1:29 PM R4 2:04 PM R5 2:39 PM R6 3:14 PM R7 3:49 PM R8 4:24 PM

Race 8

4:24 PM
1400m · 11 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Lockyer Valley Turf Club ›
🏁 Result
1st NAILS AND PRIDE
2nd MOONSHINE RUN
3rd VACILLATION 💡 Saver
4th ZEAMAIZE
❌ Unplaced — FORTUNEER didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — VACILLATION ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
FORTUNEER P $1.34
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
4
VACILLATION W $6.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. FORTUNEER FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.75 $1.34 $4.43
4. VACILLATION 11 $6.00 $2.15 $7.25
1. MOONSHINE RUN 9 $9.00 $2.50 $9.41
6. MARAGICAL 6 $7.50 $2.35 $9.49
13. JACKS AND SODA 7 $11.00 $3.10 $11.35
2. NAILS AND PRIDE 4 $11.00 $3.10 $12.56
5. ZEAMAIZE 10 $11.00 $3.10 $13.08
12. PRIVALOVA 13 $13.00 $3.40 $13.88
15. ALL BLACK 3 $21.00 $4.60 $21.44
9. MERCHANT LADY 5 $34.00 $5.50 $23.18
17. JEDIAH 12 $81.00 $8.50 $53.20
Favourite record at GATTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 24% 76% 21*
2.50–3.49 this race 30% 70% 20*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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