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R1 11:03 AM R2 11:40 AM R3 12:16 PM R4 12:52 PM R5 1:27 PM R6 2:05 PM R7 2:45 PM R8 3:25 PM

Race 4

12:52 PM
1380m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st FLYING BILLIE 📍 Place Pick
2nd SH'BOURNE MIDNIGHT
3rd HURRICANE KETUT
4th NICCO THE GREEK
✅ Place bet — won outright — FLYING BILLIE finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
8
FLYING BILLIE W $2.40·P $1.26
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. FLYING BILLIE FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.40 $1.26 $3.59
7. HURRICANE KETUT 5 $4.60 $1.45 $5.28
1. SH'BOURNE MIDNIGHT 2 $4.20 $1.36 $5.56
4. ZEWINNA 8 $7.50 $2.10 $8.75
6. DON'T GIVE UP 7 $12.00 $2.60 $12.68
2. NICCO THE GREEK 4 $18.00 $3.40 $16.50
5. ASHFALL 1 $26.00 $4.40 $17.35
3. ROMARY 6 $41.00 $5.00 $24.64
Favourite record at HOBART ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 48% 76% 21*
2.50–3.49 36% 69% 45*
3.50–4.99 0% 48% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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