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BALLARAT

R1 12:25 PM R2 1:00 PM R3 1:35 PM R4 2:10 PM R5 2:45 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 4:00 PM R8 4:40 PM

Race 5

2:45 PM
1500m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st BIG ROOSTER 📍 Place Pick
2nd HOODYS HORSE
3rd BIG SISTER AVA 💡 Saver
4th CHATEAU VEGA
✅ Place bet — won outright — BIG ROOSTER finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — BIG SISTER AVA ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
2
BIG ROOSTER P $1.45
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
5
BIG SISTER AVA W $12.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. BIG ROOSTER FAV TOP RATED 3 $3.50 $1.45 $5.24
8. DANCING DOLLY (NZ) 11 $3.80 $1.50 $5.88
12. HOODYS HORSE 16 $5.50 $1.95 $7.06
5. BIG SISTER AVA 15 $12.00 $3.30 $12.89
9. CHATEAU VEGA 10 $13.00 $3.50 $13.18
3. JAWSOME ROB 8 $14.00 $3.50 $13.44
7. SARA'S ROCKET 4 $13.00 $3.40 $13.62
11. REGAL ASCEND 7 $16.00 $3.90 $14.38
14. SHEER LUNACY 13 $26.00 $5.50 $20.72
1. OSAKA CASTLE 1 $34.00 $5.50 $24.17
6. GREY SECRET 17 $34.00 $5.75 $27.06
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.50) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 38% 63% 40*
3.50–4.99 this race 30% 70% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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