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EAGLE FARM

R1 11:43 AM R2 12:18 PM R3 12:53 PM R4 1:28 PM R5 2:03 PM R6 2:38 PM R7 3:17 PM R8 3:57 PM R9 4:30 PM

Race 1

11:43 AM
1600m · 11 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Lauren Abbott Racing ›
🏁 Result
1st WAR ETERNAL (NZ)
2nd YELLOW JERSEY (FR) 📍 Place Pick
3rd WARBY
4th WELWAL (GB) 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet landed — YELLOW JERSEY (FR) ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
YELLOW JERSEY (FR) P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
1
WELWAL (GB) W $7.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. YELLOW JERSEY (FR) FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.70 $1.28 $3.64
4. WAR ETERNAL (NZ) 12 $3.80 $1.38 $5.22
5. VICTORIA ROAD (IRE) 6 $5.00 $1.65 $6.91
1. WELWAL (GB) 10 $7.00 $2.10 $8.09
11. FAWKNER PARK (IRE) 7 $16.00 $3.60 $15.31
8. BOYS NIGHT OUT 9 $31.00 $6.00 $19.04
9. PASIMA 11 $41.00 $6.25 $23.65
6. WARBY 1 $31.00 $5.75 $25.79
12. GLASS OF ROSE 8 $71.00 $9.00 $35.30
10. VIMINELE 3 $91.00 $10.00 $45.10
7. MAHAGONI (GB) 2 $126.00 $16.00 $62.13
Favourite record at EAGLE FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 55% 85% 20*
2.00–2.49 37% 69% 35*
2.50–3.49 this race 20% 60% 70
3.50–4.99 19% 54% 48*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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