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BALLARAT

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Race 4

2:30 PM
1000m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st DEL LIRENZA ๐Ÿ“ Place Pick
2nd CAPTION THIS ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
3rd MORNING RALPH
4th RHINEGLOW
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” DEL LIRENZA finished 1st
โœ… Saver placed โ€” CAPTION THIS ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win โ€” place or pass.
11
DEL LIRENZA P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
10
CAPTION THIS W $5.00
Saver ยท small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form โ€” a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
11. DEL LIRENZA FAV TOP RATED 5 $2.70 $1.30 $3.81
10. CAPTION THIS 3 $5.00 $1.70 $5.70
2. MORNING RALPH 9 $6.50 $2.10 $8.09
3. NOT GUILTY 2 $8.00 $2.25 $9.42
1. HIGHLIGHT REEL 6 $7.50 $2.20 $9.60
4. BOA VISTA 7 $9.00 $2.35 $9.93
9. TOUS 11 $19.00 $3.90 $19.65
6. RHINEGLOW 10 $51.00 $6.50 $33.08
5. DON'T DOUBT DOTTIE 4 $91.00 $9.50 $42.11
7. SEPTEMBER MOON 1 $61.00 $7.50 $44.97
Favourite record at BALLARAT โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50โ€“3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50โ€“3.49 this race 38% 63% 40*
3.50โ€“4.99 30% 70% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.