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CAULFIELD HEATH

R1 12:25 PM R2 1:00 PM R3 1:35 PM R4 2:10 PM R5 2:45 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 3:55 PM R8 4:30 PM

Race 4

2:10 PM
1800m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st OAK BEACH ⭐ Best Bet
2nd RASP
3rd FOUR CANDLES
4th DURBAN HARBOUR
Best Bet won — OAK BEACH finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
OAK BEACH W $1.95
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
NATURAL RULER (IRE) P $1.28
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. OAK BEACH FAV TOP RATED 7 $1.95 $1.12 $2.85
4. NATURAL RULER (IRE) 11 $3.60 $1.28 $4.70
3. RASP 10 $6.50 $1.55 $7.48
7. DURBAN HARBOUR 9 $15.00 $2.70 $12.24
10. FOUR CANDLES 6 $13.00 $2.40 $12.28
5. THE CUNNING FOX (NZ) 3 $23.00 $3.50 $15.70
6. QUAMBY 4 $41.00 $4.60 $23.65
2. MORNING DARLING 2 $51.00 $5.00 $29.83
Favourite record at CAULFIELD HEATH

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 26% 70% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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