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BALLARAT

R1 1:30 PM R2 2:00 PM R3 2:30 PM R4 3:00 PM R5 3:30 PM R6 4:00 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 5

3:30 PM
1200m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st SPIRITED DEFENCE 📍 Place Pick
2nd THE GRUMPY BEAR
3rd SUPERSET
4th SOME PEOPLE CALLME
✅ Place bet — won outright — SPIRITED DEFENCE finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
5
SPIRITED DEFENCE P $1.32
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
10
OLIVIA ROSE W $9.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. SPIRITED DEFENCE FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.75 $1.32 $4.33
6. THE GRUMPY BEAR 7 $4.00 $1.55 $6.37
10. OLIVIA ROSE 5 $9.00 $2.50 $9.85
1. ONE LONG DAY 11 $9.00 $2.50 $10.27
2. SOME PEOPLE CALLME 6 $11.00 $3.00 $11.02
7. SUZE SPRITZ 1 $12.00 $3.20 $11.39
4. DOCUMENTARY 10 $13.00 $3.30 $12.62
3. SUPERSET 9 $12.00 $3.20 $12.65
9. TRIPLE TRIPLE 2 $61.00 $7.50 $34.08
11. BANGALOW ROAD 8 $71.00 $8.00 $37.36
12. FLUX 4 $101.00 $11.00 $49.42
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 31% 72% 29*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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