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DARWIN

R1 12:52 PM R2 1:27 PM R3 2:02 PM R4 2:42 PM R5 3:17 PM R6 3:57 PM R7 4:32 PM R8 5:09 PM R9 5:44 PM

Race 1

12:52 PM
1600m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st GARRIX 📍 Place Pick
2nd GRINZINGER TUNDRA
3rd LAWS WARS (NZ)
4th AGGRESSIVE
✅ Place bet — won outright — GARRIX finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
3
GARRIX W $2.20·P $1.20
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. GARRIX FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.20 $1.20 $3.13
1. LAWS WARS (NZ) 1 $2.40 $1.24 $3.25
4. GRINZINGER TUNDRA 3 $6.00 $2.30 $5.54
2. AGGRESSIVE 6 $11.00 $3.70 $9.63
7. PRICE SHARE 5 $23.00 $6.25 $16.07
5. ANTHONY (NZ) 2 $71.00 $15.00 $38.93
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.20) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 65% 90% 20*
2.00–2.49 this race 45% 90% 31*
2.50–3.49 38% 74% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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