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DARWIN

R1 12:52 PM R2 1:27 PM R3 2:02 PM R4 2:42 PM R5 3:17 PM R6 3:57 PM R7 4:32 PM R8 5:09 PM R9 5:44 PM

Race 7

4:32 PM
1100m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st BALASTIER ⭐ Best Bet
2nd BON'S PRIDE
3rd ZOURATA
4th SHIRSHOV 💡 Saver
✅ Best Bet won — BALASTIER finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
BALASTIER W $2.00
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
SHIRSHOV P $1.80
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
2
ZOURATA W $5.50
Form view · saver 11.7% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 80% (5 starts) · Recent form: 3832
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. BALASTIER FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.00 $1.22 $2.83
6. SHIRSHOV 2 $4.00 $1.80 $5.07
3. REWARDS AND MORE 5 $7.00 $2.70 $6.65
2. ZOURATA 1 $5.50 $2.30 $6.69
4. BON'S PRIDE 3 $17.00 $5.00 $12.48
1. COTEHELE (NZ) 6 $15.00 $4.50 $14.39
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 65% 90% 20*
2.00–2.49 this race 45% 90% 31*
2.50–3.49 38% 74% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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