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TOWNSVILLE

R1 12:29 PM R2 1:09 PM R3 1:49 PM R4 2:24 PM R5 3:04 PM R6 3:44 PM R7 4:24 PM R8 5:05 PM

Race 1

12:29 PM
1200m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st MIND OVER MATTER ⭐ Best Bet
2nd BETTERLUCKNEXTTIME
3rd FARAWAY DOWNS
4th MISTER DOOBEE
✅ Best Bet won — MIND OVER MATTER finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
MIND OVER MATTER W $1.70
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
EXCEEDINGLY BRAZEN P $2.10
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. MIND OVER MATTER FAV TOP RATED 7 $1.70 $1.16 $2.75
6. EXCEEDINGLY BRAZEN 3 $5.00 $2.10 $5.79
5. FARAWAY DOWNS 1 $8.00 $3.10 $7.09
4. MISTER DOOBEE 6 $9.50 $3.40 $9.96
3. TORANAGA 4 $13.00 $4.00 $11.51
2. BETTERLUCKNEXTTIME 5 $14.00 $4.25 $12.80
7. CHATSWORTH 2 $23.00 $6.00 $17.70
Favourite record at TOWNSVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 50% 85% 26*
2.00–2.49 52% 68% 25*
2.50–3.49 26% 66% 58*
3.50–4.99 26% 48% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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