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CANTERBURY

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:00 PM R4 2:35 PM R5 3:10 PM R6 3:45 PM R7 4:20 PM

Race 4

2:35 PM
1100m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st INOUE 📍 Place Pick
2nd ZALE
3rd SHALL BE
4th MADRINA
✅ Place bet — won outright — INOUE finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
5
INOUE P $1.36
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
6
TARPAULIN W $8.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. INOUE FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.60 $1.36 $3.66
2. MADRINA 5 $4.20 $2.00 $5.19
3. ZALE 7 $4.40 $2.05 $5.21
6. TARPAULIN 2 $8.50 $3.40 $8.05
1. SHALL BE 3 $7.50 $3.20 $8.40
4. SHARP SHOCK 8 $23.00 $6.50 $17.24
8. LADY SHENANIGANS 4 $41.00 $8.50 $24.54
Favourite record at CANTERBURY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 35% 74% 23*
2.50–3.49 this race 30% 63% 40*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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