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DARWIN

R1 1:49 PM R2 2:22 PM R3 3:02 PM R4 3:42 PM R5 4:19 PM R6 4:53 PM

Race 3

3:02 PM
1100m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st YULE POINT 📍 Place Pick
2nd SI SENORA
3rd VORONYA
4th VATICAN ROSE
✅ Place bet — won outright — YULE POINT finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
4
YULE POINT W $2.25·P $1.12
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
3
SNAPPY SWEETHEART W $11.00
Form view · saver 16.1% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 66.7% (3 starts) · Recent form: 141x
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. YULE POINT FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.25 $1.12 $3.53
2. VORONYA 1 $2.45 $1.16 $3.77
3. SNAPPY SWEETHEART 2 $11.00 $2.45 $9.66
5. SI SENORA 5 $9.50 $2.30 $11.47
6. SASSY ABBEY 8 $20.00 $3.80 $14.66
7. OUR SQUAMOSA 4 $23.00 $4.00 $16.97
8. FLASH KERMY 9 $21.00 $3.90 $17.41
10. FOREVER A DIAMOND 11 $31.00 $4.60 $24.16
11. VATICAN ROSE 3 $81.00 $7.25 $44.53
9. DESI'S SPIRIT 6 $151.00 $12.00 $78.98
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.25) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 65% 90% 20*
2.00–2.49 this race 43% 86% 35*
2.50–3.49 41% 73% 37*
3.50–4.99 32% 59% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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