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DARWIN

R1 1:49 PM R2 2:22 PM R3 3:02 PM R4 3:42 PM R5 4:19 PM R6 4:53 PM

Race 5

4:19 PM
1600m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st BOLLON (NZ)
2nd BAROCCO BAR 💡 Saver
3rd FABERGE TZAR 📍 Place Pick
4th BEAU FACTOR
✅ Place bet landed — FABERGE TZAR ran a place
✅ Saver placed — BAROCCO BAR ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
5
FABERGE TZAR P $1.50
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
4
BAROCCO BAR W $9.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. FABERGE TZAR FAV TOP RATED 6 $3.70 $1.50 $5.54
2. BOLLON (NZ) 10 $3.90 $1.50 $5.86
7. KIEFFER 1 $6.00 $2.15 $7.97
6. HE'S MAVERICK 2 $6.50 $2.25 $8.52
4. BAROCCO BAR 4 $9.50 $2.80 $9.92
1. BEAU FACTOR 5 $8.50 $2.60 $10.10
9. ANPHINA 9 $14.00 $3.80 $13.40
3. MR JONES 12 $34.00 $6.25 $25.26
11. GIRLS GIRLS GIRLS 3 $41.00 $7.00 $27.82
10. MACHINE MAN 7 $34.00 $6.25 $28.52
12. DANGER MAN 8 $81.00 $9.50 $44.26
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.70) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 65% 90% 20*
2.00–2.49 43% 86% 35*
2.50–3.49 41% 73% 37*
3.50–4.99 this race 32% 59% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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