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BALLARAT

R1 12:00 PM R2 12:40 PM R3 1:20 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:40 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 4:00 PM R8 4:40 PM

Race 4

2:00 PM
1500m · 4 runners
🏁 Result
1st SAVVIE BLANC
2nd ZESHADOW (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
3rd AMPHACTOR 💡 Saver
4th AUTUMNHEAT
✅ Place bet landed — ZESHADOW (NZ) ran a place
✅ Saver placed — AMPHACTOR ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
ZESHADOW (NZ) P $0.00
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
5
AMPHACTOR W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. ZESHADOW (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.90 $0.00 $3.21
1. AUTUMNHEAT 2 $3.30 $0.00 $4.11
4. SAVVIE BLANC 9 $3.40 $0.00 $4.14
5. AMPHACTOR 5 $5.50 $0.00 $4.92
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 45% 70% 20*
2.50–3.49 this race 35% 65% 57*
3.50–4.99 29% 68% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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