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BALLARAT

R1 12:00 PM R2 12:40 PM R3 1:20 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:40 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 4:00 PM R8 4:40 PM

Race 8

4:40 PM
1000m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st EL SALTO
2nd ORLABENT 📍 Place Pick
3rd WHERE'S POPPY 💡 Saver
4th VEGA BLUES
✅ Place bet landed — ORLABENT ran a place
✅ Saver placed — WHERE'S POPPY ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
1
ORLABENT P $1.75
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
6
WHERE'S POPPY W $4.80
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. ORLABENT FAV TOP RATED 7 $3.70 $1.75 $4.42
6. WHERE'S POPPY 9 $4.80 $2.20 $5.11
10. EL SALTO 6 $3.90 $1.85 $5.22
4. VEGA BLUES 2 $3.80 $1.80 $5.26
7. DANI CALIFORNIA 5 $7.50 $3.10 $7.46
8. CHELSEA TOFF 8 $23.00 $6.25 $16.03
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.70) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 45% 70% 20*
2.50–3.49 35% 65% 57*
3.50–4.99 this race 29% 68% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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