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GRAFTON

R1 12:20 PM R2 1:00 PM R3 1:40 PM R4 2:20 PM R5 3:00 PM R6 3:40 PM R7 4:20 PM

Race 5

3:00 PM
1410m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st PRESTIGE GUNDY 📍 Place Pick
2nd THINK LIKE PADDY (NZ)
3rd FICTION SOCIETY
4th PICASSO'S DREAM
✅ Place bet — won outright — PRESTIGE GUNDY finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
2
PRESTIGE GUNDY W $2.40·P $1.22
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. PRESTIGE GUNDY FAV TOP RATED 11 $2.40 $1.22 $3.97
6. CHICA DEL MAR 7 $5.00 $1.70 $6.59
1. THINK LIKE PADDY (NZ) 12 $7.50 $2.25 $10.44
5. BEER BARON 6 $9.00 $2.50 $10.84
3. JUKEBOX IN SIBERIA 8 $12.00 $3.10 $11.14
14. THE LUPERCAL 17 $14.00 $3.50 $12.43
9. PICASSO'S DREAM 3 $19.00 $4.20 $15.44
11. DARK STRATUM 1 $18.00 $4.00 $15.47
15. FICTION SOCIETY 4 $34.00 $5.75 $21.68
13. RETHINK IT 5 $51.00 $7.00 $28.70
16. MONTE OUTLANDER 2 $151.00 $14.00 $62.90
17. DUPONT 16 $201.00 $15.00 $83.40
Favourite record at GRAFTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 33% 81% 21*
2.50–3.49 21% 71% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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