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EAGLE FARM

R1 12:36 PM R2 1:11 PM R3 1:46 PM R4 2:21 PM R5 2:56 PM R6 3:31 PM R7 4:06 PM R8 4:41 PM

Race 3

1:46 PM
1600m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Lauren Abbott Racing ›
🏁 Result
1st MARGOT'S DEEL ⭐ Best Bet
2nd DIAMOND SHOW (NZ)
3rd SLIPSAIN
4th VACILLATION
✅ Best Bet won — MARGOT'S DEEL finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
7
MARGOT'S DEEL W $1.65
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
OUR SMOKESHOW (NZ) P $1.34
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. MARGOT'S DEEL FAV TOP RATED 7 $1.65 $1.03 $2.49
5. OUR SMOKESHOW (NZ) 5 $5.50 $1.34 $6.27
3. SPECIAL ARTIST 1 $8.00 $1.70 $8.61
6. DIAMOND SHOW (NZ) 2 $11.00 $2.20 $9.56
9. SLIPSAIN 9 $12.00 $2.30 $9.89
2. VACILLATION 4 $31.00 $4.00 $18.84
1. READY AZZ EVA 3 $34.00 $4.20 $21.49
4. HARLEY CHARLIE 8 $151.00 $8.50 $55.30
Favourite record at EAGLE FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 59% 86% 22*
2.00–2.49 39% 71% 41*
2.50–3.49 21% 62% 76
3.50–4.99 18% 54% 50*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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