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DARWIN

R1 1:03 PM R2 1:38 PM R3 2:13 PM R4 2:48 PM R5 3:29 PM R6 4:07 PM R7 4:42 PM R8 5:17 PM R9 5:53 PM

Race 7

4:42 PM
1100m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st RUNAWAY TYCOON ⭐ Best Bet
2nd CAVENDISH
3rd BRUNO BRUNO 💡 Saver
4th BON'S YOUR BACK
✅ Best Bet won — RUNAWAY TYCOON finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — BRUNO BRUNO ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
RUNAWAY TYCOON W $1.45
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
BRUNO BRUNO P $1.80
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. RUNAWAY TYCOON FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.45 $1.02 $2.48
4. BRUNO BRUNO 6 $7.50 $1.80 $8.17
7. DAD BOD 5 $8.50 $2.00 $8.47
3. BON'S YOUR BACK 8 $13.00 $2.50 $14.36
1. RIVKIN 7 $19.00 $3.25 $14.95
6. JUICE BOX 9 $18.00 $3.20 $15.54
8. CAVENDISH 3 $26.00 $3.90 $16.54
5. REAL VALENTIA 1 $26.00 $3.90 $19.56
9. FRAWLEY 2 $31.00 $4.25 $22.98
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 67% 90% 21*
2.00–2.49 42% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 41% 74% 39*
3.50–4.99 33% 58% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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