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CARNARVON

R1 3:55 PM R2 4:35 PM R3 5:10 PM R4 5:45 PM R5 7:05 PM R6 7:32 PM

Race 4

5:45 PM
1000m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st KIMBERLEY CURRENCY 💡 Saver
2nd MARS MISSION
3rd SWEXAN (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
4th ADDICTIVE DREAM
〰️ Best Bet placed — SWEXAN (NZ) ran a place (win bet missed)
Saver won — KIMBERLEY CURRENCY finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
SWEXAN (NZ) W $1.75
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
9
KIMBERLEY CURRENCY P $1.26
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. SWEXAN (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 10 $1.75 $1.03 $2.73
9. KIMBERLEY CURRENCY 6 $3.80 $1.26 $4.70
6. ADDICTIVE DREAM 3 $13.00 $2.50 $10.80
3. MARS MISSION 5 $11.00 $2.25 $11.12
10. SHE IS ALL MAGIC 8 $12.00 $2.40 $12.01
2. CHEEKY CHARLOTTE 1 $19.00 $3.25 $15.22
8. INTOXICATING 4 $20.00 $3.40 $17.69
7. DRAGONFLIES 2 $51.00 $5.50 $30.04
Favourite record at CARNARVON

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 48% 65% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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