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GRAFTON

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:30 PM R3 2:05 PM R4 2:40 PM R5 3:20 PM R6 4:00 PM R7 4:40 PM

Race 2

1:30 PM
1100m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st MONGOLIAN SPRING (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
2nd RUM AND KIRK
3rd CHECKS'N'BALANCES 💡 Saver
4th MOREBAR
✅ Place bet — won outright — MONGOLIAN SPRING (NZ) finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — CHECKS'N'BALANCES ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
MONGOLIAN SPRING (NZ) P $1.22
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
2
CHECKS'N'BALANCES W $10.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. MONGOLIAN SPRING (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.65 $1.22 $3.89
5. RUM AND KIRK 9 $3.10 $1.24 $4.57
4. MOREBAR 1 $3.50 $1.28 $4.72
2. CHECKS'N'BALANCES 12 $10.00 $2.35 $9.74
7. SEA TURTLE 2 $17.00 $3.50 $13.92
12. STINGERI 3 $34.00 $5.00 $19.57
9. LADY TUATARA 4 $61.00 $6.75 $32.36
6. SAVANNA GOLDEN BOY 5 $71.00 $7.25 $38.57
10. LOTSA LOLLIES 11 $101.00 $8.50 $64.39
1. BABE ROTH 8 $151.00 $12.00 $69.41
Favourite record at GRAFTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.65) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 33% 81% 27*
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 72% 32*
3.50–4.99 19% 33% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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