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GRAFTON

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:30 PM R3 2:05 PM R4 2:40 PM R5 3:20 PM R6 4:00 PM R7 4:40 PM

Race 5

3:20 PM
3120m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st LEGS POWER
2nd VALENTINE JOHN (IRE)
3rd BRIGHT THE SUN
4th SMELTER (IRE) 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — SMELTER (IRE) didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
11
SMELTER (IRE) P $1.55
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
5
THUNDERING FALCON W $9.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
11. SMELTER (IRE) FAV TOP RATED 12 $3.90 $1.55 $5.73
4. BRIGHT THE SUN 2 $4.40 $1.65 $6.39
8. PAPAL MISS 7 $7.50 $2.45 $8.90
3. BALMIERRO 3 $7.50 $2.40 $9.16
5. THUNDERING FALCON 10 $9.50 $2.80 $10.24
10. LEGS POWER 4 $11.00 $3.25 $11.70
6. MIMESSI 8 $18.00 $4.40 $14.88
1. VALENTINE JOHN (IRE) 9 $17.00 $4.20 $16.14
9. YOU THINK SO 5 $20.00 $4.60 $20.47
2. FINAL CHAPTER (NZ) 11 $26.00 $5.25 $23.68
12. MEMUMZA DIVA 1 $71.00 $9.00 $42.10
7. KOOJAN (NZ) 6 $91.00 $11.00 $49.23
Favourite record at GRAFTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.90) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 33% 81% 27*
2.50–3.49 28% 72% 32*
3.50–4.99 this race 19% 33% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.