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GEELONG

R1 12:05 PM R2 12:40 PM R3 1:15 PM R4 1:50 PM R5 2:25 PM R6 3:00 PM R7 3:35 PM R8 4:15 PM R9 4:55 PM

Race 2

12:40 PM
1100m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st SHAH JAHAN
2nd SAINTLY DANCER (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
3rd NOTHIN' SURER
4th SCORCHING BEAUTY
✅ Place bet landed — SAINTLY DANCER (NZ) ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
13
SAINTLY DANCER (NZ) P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
10
MANAHI (NZ) W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
13. SAINTLY DANCER (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.80 $1.28 $3.68
4. SHAH JAHAN 7 $4.80 $1.55 $6.39
10. MANAHI (NZ) 3 $5.50 $1.75 $6.44
14. SCORCHING BEAUTY 5 $7.00 $2.10 $6.68
9. FIRE IN YOUR HEART 12 $13.00 $3.20 $14.27
3. MESLEY 13 $14.00 $3.25 $15.72
6. THEKINGSPALACE 1 $15.00 $3.40 $17.19
11. NOTHIN' SURER 10 $18.00 $3.80 $19.47
1. FAIRLY ANDY 4 $51.00 $6.50 $42.91
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 42% 67% 24*
2.50–3.49 this race 37% 74% 54*
3.50–4.99 23% 62% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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