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GEELONG

R1 12:05 PM R2 12:40 PM R3 1:15 PM R4 1:50 PM R5 2:25 PM R6 3:00 PM R7 3:35 PM R8 4:15 PM R9 4:55 PM

Race 4

1:50 PM
1200m ยท 13 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st ROYAL DUCK ๐Ÿ“ Place Pick
2nd ABSENT
3rd SAINT FOX
4th MYSTIC RAPTURE
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” ROYAL DUCK finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree โ€” a genuine top pick. Win or place.
8
ROYAL DUCK W $2.30ยทP $1.22
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner โ€” a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. ROYAL DUCK FAV TOP RATED 9 $2.30 $1.22 $3.27
11. SAINT FOX 1 $3.60 $1.36 $4.73
7. MYSTIC RAPTURE 4 $11.00 $2.75 $11.62
16. PRINCE IADORA 19 $13.00 $3.25 $11.76
12. SCAROLE 13 $10.00 $2.60 $11.93
9. EL DUDAR 5 $13.00 $3.25 $15.75
5. SWIFT STATEMENT 12 $26.00 $4.60 $20.07
18. THINKING POSITIVE 16 $41.00 $6.50 $27.30
17. ABSENT 3 $41.00 $6.50 $32.81
3. MERTON BELLS 2 $61.00 $7.25 $52.88
2. GRANITE HILL 10 $126.00 $12.00 $89.52
4. NO OMBRAYS 8 $151.00 $14.00 $105.90
1. BILLIE STARDOM 14 $201.00 $15.00 $126.17
Favourite record at GEELONG โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.30) sits in the 2.00โ€“2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00โ€“2.49 this race 42% 67% 24*
2.50โ€“3.49 37% 74% 54*
3.50โ€“4.99 23% 62% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.