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Race 8

4:15 PM
1200m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st IMMORTAL TRIUMPH
2nd COLT FORTY FIVE 📍 Place Pick
3rd SWITCH HIT 💡 Saver
4th HEADSTOCK
✅ Place bet landed — COLT FORTY FIVE ran a place
✅ Saver placed — SWITCH HIT ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
COLT FORTY FIVE P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
6
SWITCH HIT W $9.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. COLT FORTY FIVE FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.70 $1.26 $4.11
8. IMMORTAL TRIUMPH 5 $4.20 $1.45 $5.82
12. THE OPPORTUNIST 3 $5.00 $1.65 $6.83
6. SWITCH HIT 7 $9.50 $2.50 $9.35
5. HEADSTOCK 12 $8.50 $2.40 $9.55
3. BANCOORA 9 $12.00 $2.90 $10.79
11. RANAKYE 4 $17.00 $3.75 $13.61
13. DE LA ROCHA 8 $51.00 $6.75 $29.29
2. NICOFFHOME 10 $71.00 $7.25 $37.60
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 42% 67% 24*
2.50–3.49 this race 37% 74% 54*
3.50–4.99 23% 62% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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