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BALLARAT

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Race 3

2:00 PM
1000m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st FACE THE WILD ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ISLE OF MONA
3rd NAUGHTY JAMIE
4th WHAT ONCE WAS 💡 Saver
✅ Best Bet won — FACE THE WILD finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
9
FACE THE WILD W $1.55
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
12
WHAT ONCE WAS P $1.75
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. FACE THE WILD FAV TOP RATED 13 $1.55 $1.03 $2.73
12. WHAT ONCE WAS 11 $7.00 $1.75 $7.09
8. AGORAPHOBIC 4 $10.00 $2.25 $8.08
10. ISLE OF MONA 1 $11.00 $2.35 $9.03
4. MYHOMECOMINGQUEEN 2 $10.00 $2.25 $10.85
5. NAUGHTY JAMIE 8 $21.00 $3.60 $19.93
2. STRUM 5 $51.00 $5.50 $29.17
6. WUNDERLUST 7 $61.00 $6.25 $32.25
1. SCARTAKA 6 $51.00 $5.50 $35.84
11. PRAGMATIC LADY 3 $61.00 $6.50 $43.90
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 55% 95% 22*
2.00–2.49 56% 74% 27*
2.50–3.49 35% 65% 65
3.50–4.99 24% 63% 46*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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