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BALLARAT

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Race 4

2:30 PM
1200m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st SALUDAR โญ Best Bet
2nd SIBUN
3rd HAVANA MOON ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
4th KEEPY UPPY
โœ… Best Bet won โ€” SALUDAR finished 1st
โœ… Saver placed โ€” HAVANA MOON ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
SALUDAR W $1.85
win โญ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite โ€” market and model in agreement.
7
HAVANA MOON P $1.32
Saver ยท place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. SALUDAR FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.85 $1.06 $2.70
7. HAVANA MOON 1 $4.00 $1.32 $5.14
8. SPARKLING AWARD 7 $6.50 $1.75 $7.02
3. SIBUN 3 $9.00 $2.20 $9.81
10. BOHEMIAN BOY 8 $17.00 $3.30 $18.92
4. SKILLED SAILOR 9 $34.00 $4.80 $22.56
11. BURROW 2 $34.00 $4.80 $30.71
14. FASTLANE TO ASCOT 4 $91.00 $7.50 $42.49
6. FIERCE RUBY 10 $81.00 $7.25 $44.59
15. KEEPY UPPY 5 $151.00 $12.00 $68.65
Favourite record at BALLARAT โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 55% 95% 22*
2.00โ€“2.49 56% 74% 27*
2.50โ€“3.49 35% 65% 65
3.50โ€“4.99 24% 63% 46*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.